Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 5.210744 5.934150 6.730949 7.675229 8.765736 9.987892 11.464631
2025-05-18 4.156225 5.076658 6.170309 7.571134 9.325722 11.461052 14.272302
2025-05-25 3.516745 4.519644 5.779073 7.487563 9.761320 12.706260 16.846598
2025-06-01 3.046460 4.078177 5.432828 7.358254 10.051327 13.723694 19.178068
2025-06-08 2.676374 3.708649 5.116354 7.198758 10.239032 14.574666 21.331776
2025-06-15 2.518876 3.604360 5.137890 7.493220 11.074311 16.403599 25.102246
2025-06-22 2.326634 3.424809 5.025475 7.567339 11.574765 17.771702 28.319431
2025-06-29 2.132339 3.219539 4.849379 7.516930 11.863605 18.825284 31.141218
2025-07-06 1.956201 3.023114 4.664361 7.426515 12.067237 19.747182 33.835249
2025-07-13 1.873083 2.962712 4.682783 7.659930 12.819048 21.645632 38.448358
2025-07-20 1.784901 2.884926 4.663767 7.824606 13.463923 23.420477 43.054813
2025-07-27 1.726720 2.850318 4.710567 8.102400 14.330094 25.673569 48.843255
2025-08-03 1.586747 2.667990 4.495444 7.903980 14.323207 26.343701 51.679288
2025-08-10 1.476326 2.527521 4.340526 7.798540 14.476396 27.329570 55.282501
2025-08-17 1.379994 2.403746 4.204030 7.712446 14.653864 28.375307 59.142611
2025-08-24 1.286057 2.276680 4.050758 7.578925 14.721335 29.202198 62.633670
2025-08-31 1.196609 2.150879 3.889513 7.414215 14.706777 29.853520 65.813922
2025-09-07 1.175901 2.150933 3.962850 7.718315 15.686652 32.707888 74.459692
2025-09-14 1.128047 2.095709 3.925855 7.794865 16.191824 34.587650 81.064967
2025-09-21 1.068845 2.014164 3.831133 7.742802 16.411342 35.851945 86.339242
2025-09-28 1.009688 1.928466 3.721638 7.649423 16.528628 36.892882 91.196825
2025-10-05 0.989993 1.919794 3.766133 7.890496 17.427640 39.867873 101.552638
2025-10-12 0.963926 1.896230 3.778047 8.060588 18.179196 42.576736 111.625558